Chapter 23
Space Weather
23.11 Ionospheric Storms
Ionospheric storms arise from large influxes of solar particle and electromagnetic radiation. There is a strong coupling between the ionosphere and the magnetosphere, which means both regimes can be disturbed concurrently.
The symptoms of an ionospheric storm include enhanced currents, turbulence and wave activity, and a nonhomogeneous distribution of free electrons. This clustering of electrons that leads to scintillation of signals passing through the cluster is particularly problematic for the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), including the United States’ GPS.
The duration of the ionospheric storm impact may range from a few minutes to days-long prolonged events. As a general rule, these ionospheric storms mimic the duration of geomagnetic storms.
The intensity of ionospheric storms varies significantly as a function of local time, season, and time within the solar cycle.
The frequency of occurrence of ionospheric storms is also similar to geomagnetic storms with one important caveat. The near-equatorial ionosphere, a band extending approximately ±10° in latitude on either side of the magnetic equator, can be very disturbed in the post-sunset to near-midnight hours, even in the absence of a geomagnetic storm. This behavior is related to the internal electrodynamics of the ionosphere rather than external stimulation from the Sun.
23.12 Solar Flare Radio Blackouts
Radio blackouts primarily affect high frequency (HF) (3–30 megahertz (MHz)), although detrimental effects may spill over to VHF (30–300 MHz) and beyond, resulting in fading and diminished ability for reception. The blackouts are a consequence of enhanced electron densities caused by the emissions from solar flares that ionize the sunlit side of Earth.
The process consists of x ray and EUV bursts from a solar flare, increasing the number of free electrons in the atmosphere below 90 km; this in turn increases their interaction with the neutral atmosphere that increases the amount of radio energy lost as radio waves pass through this region. During a large flare event, the amount of radio energy lost is sufficient to make the return signal from the ionosphere too small to be useful with normal radio receivers. The net effect of this process is a blackout for HF transmissions.
The duration of dayside solar flare radio blackouts closely follows the duration of the solar flares that cause the blackouts, beginning with the arrival of the x ray and EUV photons and abating with their diminution. Usually, the radio blackouts last for several minutes, but they can last for hours.
23.13 Effects of Space Weather on Aircraft Operations
23.13.1 Communications
High frequency communications (HF COM) at low- to mid-latitudes are used by aircraft during transoceanic flights and routes where line-of-sight VHF communication is not an option. HF enables a skip mode to send a signal around the curvature of Earth. HF COM on the Earth’s day side can be adversely affected when a solar flare occurs and its photons rapidly alter the electron density of the lower altitudes of the ionosphere, causing fading, noise, or a total blackout. Usually these disruptions are short-lived (tens of minutes to a few hours), so the outage ends fairly quickly.
HF COM at high latitudes and polar regions are adversely affected for longer periods, sometimes days, due to some space weather events. The high latitude and polar ionosphere are a sink for charged particles that alter the local ionization and provide steep local ionization gradients to deflect HF radio waves, as well as increase local absorption.
Satellite communication (SATCOM) signals pass through the bulk of the ionosphere and are a popular means of communicating over a wide area. The frequencies normally used for SATCOM are high enough for the ionosphere to appear transparent. However, when the ionosphere is turbulent and nonhomogeneous, an effect called scintillation (a twinkling in both amplitude and phase) is imposed upon the transmitted signal. Scintillations can result in loss-of-lock and the inability for the receiver to track a Doppler-shifted radio wave.
23.13.2 Navigation and GPS
Space weather adversely affects GPS in three ways: it increases the error of the computed position, it causes a loss-of-lock for receivers, and it overwhelms the transmitted signal with solar radio noise.
23.13.3 Radiation Exposure to Flightcrews and Passengers
Solar radiation storms occurring under particular circumstances cause an increase in radiation dose to flightcrews and passengers. As high polar latitudes and high altitudes have the least shielding from the particles, the threat is the greatest for higher altitude polar flights. The increased dose is much less of an issue for low and midlatitude flights.